The numbers
BGE customers in Maryland currently pay around $0.190/kWh on average. At the historical escalation rate of about 4.0% a year, that rate compounds quickly if it holds:
| Today | In 5 years | In 10 years | In 20 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| $0.190 | $0.231 | $0.281 | $0.416 |
Projection based on Maryland's historical rate escalation of 4.0%/yr, compounded annually. Not a guarantee โ actual future rates depend on regulatory decisions.
That's a 119% increase over 20 years if the trend continues โ meaning the same household usage that costs $190 today per 1,000 kWh would cost roughly $416 at that point.
What's actually driving the increase
BGE and other Maryland utilities have been approved for multi-year rate increases to fund grid modernization and storm hardening, while the PJM Interconnection regional capacity market โ the wholesale system Maryland relies on โ has cleared at record-high prices as demand from data centers and other large users outpaces new generation. Grid operators have warned of possible rolling blackouts during peak demand, and those wholesale costs flow straight through to customer bills.
Baltimore summers combine mid-Atlantic humidity with heat-retaining rowhome construction, so AC often has to fight both outdoor heat and a home that holds warmth well into the evening.
How residents are fighting back
You can't vote down a rate case yourself, but you can reduce how much of your bill is exposed to it. Maryland's HB 1532 now allows a permit-free, no-utility-approval plug-in solar system up to 1200W โ already in effect. Most plug-in systems this size don't qualify for net metering, so the strategy that actually works is maximizing self-consumption โ using the power as you generate it, rather than exporting it back to the grid at a rate that keeps rising anyway.
Bottom line
Baltimore rates are going up, and the drivers behind it โ grid modernization and rising regional capacity costs โ aren't going away soon. Every kWh you generate yourself is a kWh permanently insulated from the next rate case.
Further reading
Sources
- Short-Term Energy Outlook โ U.S. Energy Information Administration
- Electricity Data (historical retail prices by state) โ U.S. EIA
- Electricity prices, demand to continue rising in 2026: EIA โ Utility Dive
- State Electricity Profiles (average prices & rankings by state) โ U.S. EIA
- Local Climate Data for Denver, CO (sunshine & temperature normals) โ National Weather Service (NOAA)
- PJM capacity prices hit record high as grid operator falls short of reliability target โ Utility Dive
- Amid high heat, power demand in PJM territory could set records โ Maryland Matters
- Population Growth Reported Across U.S. Regions (Vintage 2025 estimates) โ U.S. Census Bureau
- The Data Center Capital of the World Is in Virginia โ Governing