The numbers
Dominion Energy customers in Virginia currently pay around $0.145/kWh on average. At the historical escalation rate of about 4.0% a year, that rate compounds quickly if it holds:
| Today | In 5 years | In 10 years | In 20 years |
|---|---|---|---|
| $0.145 | $0.176 | $0.215 | $0.318 |
Projection based on Virginia's historical rate escalation of 4.0%/yr, compounded annually. Not a guarantee — actual future rates depend on regulatory decisions.
That's a 119% increase over 20 years if the trend continues — meaning the same household usage that costs $145 today per 1,000 kWh would cost roughly $318 at that point.
What's actually driving the increase
Northern Virginia is home to the largest concentration of data centers in the world, and their enormous, growing electricity demand is a major driver of new transmission spending across Dominion Energy’s entire Virginia service territory — costs that get spread across all ratepayers, not just the data centers themselves.
Virginia’s data-center boom is one of the most well-documented drivers of rising electric bills in the country — see the full breakdown of the numbers. Data centers & electricity costs →
How residents are fighting back
You can't vote down a rate case yourself, but you can reduce how much of your bill is exposed to it. Virginia's HB 395 now allows a permit-free, no-utility-approval plug-in solar system up to 1200W — effective January 1, 2027. Most plug-in systems this size don't qualify for net metering, so the strategy that actually works is maximizing self-consumption — using the power as you generate it, rather than exporting it back to the grid at a rate that keeps rising anyway.
Bottom line
Virginia Beach rates are going up, and the drivers behind it — the data-center boom in “Data Center Alley” — aren't going away soon. Every kWh you generate yourself is a kWh permanently insulated from the next rate case.
Further reading
Sources
- Short-Term Energy Outlook — U.S. Energy Information Administration
- Electricity Data (historical retail prices by state) — U.S. EIA
- Electricity prices, demand to continue rising in 2026: EIA — Utility Dive
- State Electricity Profiles (average prices & rankings by state) — U.S. EIA
- Local Climate Data for Denver, CO (sunshine & temperature normals) — National Weather Service (NOAA)
- PJM capacity prices hit record high as grid operator falls short of reliability target — Utility Dive
- Amid high heat, power demand in PJM territory could set records — Maryland Matters
- Population Growth Reported Across U.S. Regions (Vintage 2025 estimates) — U.S. Census Bureau
- The Data Center Capital of the World Is in Virginia — Governing